← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Nov 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Charleroi win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Charleroi +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Oday Dabbagh · Charleroi |
| 36' | 🟨 | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 47' | 🟥 | Damien Marcq · Charleroi |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bilal Bafdili · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 10.00 | 375.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 4.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1482.53 | 1529.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.17 | 3.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 6.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.54 |
| solidity v1 | -1.14 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 26.08 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.51 |