← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Nov 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
| Mechelen win | 22% | 4.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Standard −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 22' | ⚽ | Hayao Kawabe · Standard |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mory Konate · Mechelen |
| 89' | ⚽ | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zinho Vanheusden · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Coucke · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Elias Cobbaut · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 157.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1579.40 | 1478.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.77 | -39.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.30 | 46.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| league points | 23.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | -0.45 | -1.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.03 | 26.54 |
| state index | 0.63 | -1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 2.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.04 |