← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Nov 5, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Club Brugge win | 37% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Club Brugge +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Ludwig Augustinsson · Anderlecht |
| 25' | 🟨 | Zeno Debast · Anderlecht |
| 35' | 🟨 | Mats Rits · Anderlecht |
| 37' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 40' | ⚽ | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 59' | ⚽ | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 62' | 🟨 | Boris Popović · Club Brugge |
| 69' | 🟨 | Alan Minda · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 430.00 | 339.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1674.23 | 1689.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.29 | 22.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| league points | 43.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.74 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | 0.72 |
| solidity v1 | -0.07 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 23.79 | 27.16 |
| state index | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.37 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 0.84 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 1.71 |