← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Oct 29, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 63% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.77 |
| Kortrijk win | 16% | 6.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk +1.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Genk +1.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
| 21' | 🟨 | Felipe Avenatti · Kortrijk |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mounaim El Idrissy · Kortrijk |
| 39' | 🟨 | Kristiyan Malinov · Kortrijk |
| 56' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 68' | 🟨 | Carlos Cuesta · Genk |
| 73' | ⚽ | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
| 79' | ⚽ | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 28.00 | 546.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1436.60 | 1741.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.24 | 3.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 11.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 8.18 | 2.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | 0.46 |
| solidity v1 | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.57 | 23.70 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.85 |