← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Oct 29, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Standard win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Gent −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Jordan Torunarigha · Gent |
| 33' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 36' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Gent |
| 40' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 47' | 🟨 | Zinho Vanheusden · Standard |
| 52' | 🟨 | Isaac Hayden · Standard |
| 67' | ⚽ | Wilfried Kanga · Standard |
| 80' | 🟨 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 1062.00 | 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.48 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1746.97 | 1585.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.51 | 60.96 |
| eye test v1 | 1.48 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 67.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 25.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.03 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 0.11 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.29 | 25.25 |
| state index | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.20 |