← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Oct 28, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 50% | 1.91 |
| AS Eupen win | 25% | 3.88 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| AS Eupen +0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Amadou Keita · AS Eupen |
| 26' | 🟨 | Stefan Knežević · Charleroi |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jan Král · AS Eupen |
| 54' | ⚽ | Kevin Möhwald · AS Eupen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Romeo Monticelli · Charleroi |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rune Paeshuyse · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gary Magnee · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kehrwegstadion |
| coach days | 149.00 | 361.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 9.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1425.45 | 1556.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.58 | 30.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -3.37 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.13 | 26.98 |
| state index | -1.23 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.91 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.43 |