← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Oct 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Mechelen win | 26% | 3.72 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Mechelen +0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
| 54' | ⚽ | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
| 59' | 🟨 | Hugo Siquet · Club Brugge |
| 70' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 73' | ⚽ | Kazeem Olaigbe · Club Brugge |
| 77' | 🟨 | Patrick Pflücke · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 22 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 392.00 | 422.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1488.79 | 1654.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.60 | 2.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| league points | 12.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 58.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.62 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -1.14 |
| solidity v1 | -1.52 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.87 | 23.91 |
| state index | -0.72 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.84 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.50 |