← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Oct 22, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Standard win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 24' | ⚽ | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 50' | 🟨 | Nathan Ngoy · Standard |
| 52' | ⚽ | Steven Alzate · Standard |
| 55' | ⚽ | Hayao Kawabe · Standard |
| 60' | 🟨 | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 61' | ⚽ | Nathan Ngoy · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Isaac Price · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kasper Schmeichel · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zeno Debast · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 143.00 | 325.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1574.62 | 1681.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.75 | 7.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| league points | 20.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 14.21 | 14.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | 0.61 |
| solidity v1 | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.14 | 27.20 |
| state index | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.50 |