← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Oct 22, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.10 |
| Mechelen win | 16% | 6.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Genk −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.43 |
| Under | 33% | 2.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Christopher Baah · Genk |
| 41' | ⚽ | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 60' | 🟨 | Mark McKenzie · Genk |
| 61' | 🟨 | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 65' | 🟨 | Elias Cobbaut · Mechelen |
| 75' | ⚽ | Bilal El Khannouss · Genk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Anouar Ait El Hadj · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 539.00 | 386.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1740.73 | 1494.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.20 | -34.85 |
| eye test v1 | 1.15 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| league points | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 13.79 | 14.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| solidity v1 | -0.19 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 23.33 | 27.34 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.98 |