← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Oct 21, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 49% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Charleroi win | 25% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Charleroi +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Stefan Knežević · Charleroi |
| 50' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 56' | ⚽ | Jürgen Ekkelenkamp · Antwerp |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Charleroi |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Charleroi |
| 77' | ⚽ | George Ilenikhena · Antwerp |
| 87' | 🟨 | Michel Ange Balikwisha · Antwerp |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Toby Alderweireld · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 354.00 | 538.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.19 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1542.42 | 1733.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.70 | -15.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | 1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 2.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 89.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 64.80 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 13.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | 2.05 |
| solidity v1 | -0.82 | 1.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 24.71 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 0.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 2.31 |