← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Oct 20, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 79% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 14% | 8.10 |
| AS Eupen win | 8% | 14.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −2 | 53% | 1.82 |
| AS Eupen −2 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 71% | 1.35 |
| Under | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 31' | ⚽ | Mathias Rasmussen · St. Gilloise |
| 63' | 🟨 | Kevin Möhwald · AS Eupen |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mohamed Amoura · St. Gilloise |
| 81' | ⚽ | Victor Pálsson · AS Eupen |
| 82' | ⚽ | Elton Kabangu · St. Gilloise |
| 85' | 🟨 | Nathan Bitumazala · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nathan Bitumazala · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Nathan Bitumazala · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 111.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1779.78 | 1428.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.34 | -36.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 28.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 12.06 | 12.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.80 | -9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -0.16 |
| solidity v1 | -0.09 | -2.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.49 | 25.13 |
| state index | 1.16 | -1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.39 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 2.50 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.85 | 1.00 |