β Jupiler Pro League 2023 Β· Sun, Oct 8, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 77% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.64 |
| AS Eupen win | 9% | 13.00 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen β1.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Antwerp β1.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.54 |
| Under | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | β½ | Isaac Nuhu Β· AS Eupen |
| 14' | β½ | Arthur Vermeeren Β· Antwerp |
| 33' | β½ | Michel Ange Balikwisha Β· Antwerp |
| 61' | β½ (og) | Rune Paeshuyse Β· Antwerp |
| 74' | π¨ | Brandon Baiye Β· AS Eupen |
| 84' | π¨ | Gary Magnee Β· AS Eupen |
| 90' | β½ | Arbnor Muja Β· Antwerp |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 5 |
| 12 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 525.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1729.98 | 1432.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.41 | -15.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| league points | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.32 | -0.06 |
| solidity v1 | 1.19 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.66 | 25.22 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.28 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.21 |