← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Oct 7, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
| Mechelen win | 20% | 5.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Mechelen −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 27' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 58' | 🟨 | Theo Leoni · Anderlecht |
| 60' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 69' | 🟨 | Killian Sardella · Anderlecht |
| 73' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 77' | 🟨 | David Bates · Mechelen |
| 83' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Francis Amuzu · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 310.00 | 371.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1675.30 | 1500.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.76 | -21.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| solidity v1 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.40 | 27.35 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.16 |