← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Oct 7, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 |
| Kortrijk win | 23% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Kortrijk −0.75 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Erdon Daci · Westerlo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mounaim El Idrissy · Kortrijk |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mark Mampasi · Kortrijk |
| 76' | 🟨 | Serhiy Sydorchuk · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolas Madsen · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdelkahar Kadri · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 828.00 | 6.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1495.22 | 1411.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.11 | -2.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.31 |
| solidity v1 | -0.77 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 24.50 |
| state index | -1.15 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.70 | 1.62 |