← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Oct 1, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.13 |
| Charleroi win | 20% | 4.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Charleroi −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 28' | ⚽ | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
| 45' | ⚽ | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 55' | 🟨 | Damien Marcq · Charleroi |
| 64' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 92.00 | 334.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1767.18 | 1530.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.78 | -14.29 |
| eye test v1 | 1.09 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| league points | 22.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.07 |
| solidity v1 | -0.05 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 26.35 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.14 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 1.29 |