← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Sep 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.16 |
| AS Eupen win | 21% | 4.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| AS Eupen +0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 36' | 🟨 | Isaac Christie-Davies · AS Eupen |
| 38' | ⚽ | Isaac Nuhu · AS Eupen |
| 67' | ⚽ (og) | Rune Paeshuyse · Anderlecht |
| 88' | ⚽ | Luis Vázquez · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kehrwegstadion |
| coach days | 121.00 | 303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1440.74 | 1666.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.17 | 1.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 5.86 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.22 |
| solidity v1 | -0.74 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.28 |