← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Sep 24, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 77% | 1.23 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.81 |
| AS Eupen win | 8% | 12.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −2 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Gent −2 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.40 |
| Under | 32% | 3.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Miloš Pantović · AS Eupen |
| 45' | 🟥 | Gift Orban · Gent |
| 49' | ⚽ | Sven Kums · Gent |
| 51' | 🟨 | Archie Brown · Gent |
| 53' | 🟨 | Teddy Alloh · AS Eupen |
| 58' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 71' | 🟨 | Miloš Pantović · AS Eupen |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jan Král · AS Eupen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alfreð Finnbogason · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 1027.00 | 115.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1758.40 | 1442.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.00 | 30.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| league points | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 2.93 | 7.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | 0.85 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.58 | 24.59 |
| state index | 0.77 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.27 |