← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Sep 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Westerlo win | 29% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.5 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Standard −0.5 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 66' | 🟨 | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jordan Bos · Westerlo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lukas Van Eenoo · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 23 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 113.00 | 813.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 1.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1527.87 | 1485.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.42 | -36.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| league points | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 5.30 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 0.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.34 |
| solidity v1 | 0.17 | -1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.86 | 26.05 |
| state index | -0.10 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 0.99 |