β Jupiler Pro League 2023 Β· Sun, Sep 17, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.36 |
| Kortrijk win | 18% | 5.44 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk +1 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Anderlecht +1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | β½ | Dion De Neve Β· Kortrijk |
| 20' | β½ | Kasper Dolberg Β· Anderlecht |
| 33' | π¨ | Marco Kana Β· Kortrijk |
| 41' | π¨ | Felipe Avenatti Β· Kortrijk |
| 54' | π₯ | Zeno Debast Β· Anderlecht |
| 57' | β½ (pen) | Felipe Avenatti Β· Kortrijk |
| 71' | π¨ | Lynnt Audoor Β· Kortrijk |
| 81' | π¨ | Marco Kana Β· Kortrijk |
| 81' | π₯ | Marco Kana Β· Kortrijk |
| 85' | π¨ | Nayel Mehssatou Β· Kortrijk |
| 90' | π¨ | Thorgan Hazard |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| 90' | β½ | Anders Dreyer Β· Anderlecht |
| coach days | 16.00 | 290.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1395.80 | 1673.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.85 | 33.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.82 |
| league points | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 15.80 | 13.90 |
| scorer concentration | β | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.14 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.01 |
| solidity v1 | -1.41 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.80 | 26.70 |
| state index | -1.68 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 1.20 |