← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Sep 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 39% | 2.46 |
| AS Eupen win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Standard +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Isaac Hayden · Standard |
| 43' | 🟨 | Steven Alzate · Standard |
| 45' | ⚽ | Wilfried Kanga · Standard |
| 45' | ⚽ | Hayao Kawabe · Standard |
| 58' | 🟨 | Hayao Kawabe · Standard |
| 75' | ⚽ | Kamal Sowah · Standard |
| 80' | ⚽ | Alfreð Finnbogason · AS Eupen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Isaac Christie-Davies · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Steven Alzate · Standard |
| 90' | 🟥 | Steven Alzate · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kehrwegstadion |
| coach days | 108.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1458.04 | 1512.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.63 | -10.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| league points | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 14.80 | 14.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.93 | -0.58 |
| solidity v1 | -0.94 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.11 | 24.37 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.06 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 0.71 |