← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Sep 15, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 61% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.70 |
| Westerlo win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +1 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Antwerp +1 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 18' | 🟨 | Emin Bayram · Westerlo |
| 47' | 🟨 | Serhiy Sydorchuk · Westerlo |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jelle Bataille · Antwerp |
| 72' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 84' | ⚽ | Arbnor Muja · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 806.00 | 502.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1494.16 | 1740.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.69 | -11.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| league points | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 13.20 | 12.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.14 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 0.10 |
| solidity v1 | -1.79 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.76 | 23.94 |
| state index | -1.17 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.03 |