← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Sep 3, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 47% | 2.06 |
| St Truiden win | 26% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Charleroi −0.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | 🟨 | Jonas Bager · Charleroi |
| 75' | 🟨 | Stelios Andreou · Charleroi |
| 80' | ⚽ | Oday Dabbagh · Charleroi |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Aboubakary Koita · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟥 | Frederic Ananou · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 306.00 | 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 3.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1539.84 | 1540.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.64 | 3.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.82 |
| league points | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.03 | 7.14 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 0.45 |
| solidity v1 | -0.61 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 22.99 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 0.98 |