← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Sep 2, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 55% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.22 |
| AS Eupen win | 21% | 4.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| AS Eupen −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 81' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 85' | 🟨 | Boris Lambert · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 336.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1522.38 | 1464.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.77 | 33.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| league points | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 37.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | -0.94 |
| solidity v1 | 0.25 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 24.99 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 2.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.16 |