← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Aug 27, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 51% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
| Charleroi win | 23% | 4.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Charleroi −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Žan Rogelj · Charleroi |
| 34' | ⚽ | Theo Leoni · Anderlecht |
| 76' | ⚽ | Stelios Andreou · Charleroi |
| 78' | ⚽ | Francis Amuzu · Anderlecht |
| 87' | 🟨 | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 269.00 | 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1665.30 | 1545.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.93 | -6.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 7.10 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.55 |
| solidity v1 | -0.27 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.70 | 25.98 |
| state index | 0.49 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 1.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 0.97 |