← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Aug 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Kortrijk win | 31% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Standard +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Wilfried Kanga · Standard |
| 24' | ⚽ | Isaak Davies · Kortrijk |
| 73' | ⚽ | Hayao Kawabe · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zinho Vanheusden · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 23 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 10 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 25.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1412.69 | 1518.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.57 | -24.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.06 | 7.20 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.86 |
| solidity v1 | -1.21 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 24.31 | 23.97 |
| state index | -1.52 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.48 |