← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Aug 20, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Denil
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 44% | 2.20 |
| AS Eupen win | 29% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| AS Eupen −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Martin Wasinski · Kortrijk |
| 53' | 🟨 | Rune Paeshuyse · AS Eupen |
| 54' | 🟨 | Lynnt Audoor · Kortrijk |
| 56' | ⚽ | Gary Magnee · AS Eupen |
| 60' | ⚽ | Amadou Keita · AS Eupen |
| 64' | 🟨 | Kristiyan Malinov · Kortrijk |
| 66' | ⚽ | Abdelkahar Kadri · Kortrijk |
| 67' | 🟨 | Amadou Keita · AS Eupen |
| 80' | 🟨 | João Silva · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nayel Mehssatou · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟥 | Felipe Avenatti |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriel Slonina · AS Eupen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan Král · AS Eupen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jerome Deom · AS Eupen |
| coach days | 19.00 | 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1431.03 | 1412.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.96 | -5.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| league points | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 8.94 | 7.14 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.00 | -13.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.31 |
| solidity v1 | -0.59 | -2.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 24.89 | 24.52 |
| state index | -1.20 | -1.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 2.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 0.67 |