β Jupiler Pro League 2023 Β· Sun, Aug 20, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.45 |
| St Truiden win | 15% | 6.41 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent β1 | 51% | 1.89 |
| St Truiden β1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | β½ | Aboubakary Koita Β· St Truiden |
| 13' | β½ | Mathias Delorge Β· St Truiden |
| 21' | π¨ | Julien De Sart Β· Gent |
| 35' | β½ | Gift Orban Β· Gent |
| 54' | π¨ | Bruno Godeau Β· St Truiden |
| 58' | β½ | Jordan Torunarigha Β· Gent |
| 60' | π¨ | Eric Bocat Β· St Truiden |
| 61' | π¨ | Matisse Samoise Β· Gent |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 992.00 | 111.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1748.96 | 1545.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.15 | -7.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 7.10 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | -0.05 |
| solidity v1 | -0.09 | 1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.34 | 24.46 |
| state index | 1.03 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 0.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 0.92 |