← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Aug 20, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Westerlo win | 20% | 5.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Westerlo −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.64 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 45' | 🟨 | Amadou Diawara · Anderlecht |
| 52' | 🟨 | Mathias Fixelles · Westerlo |
| 72' | ⚽ | Jan Vertonghen · Anderlecht |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nicolas Madsen · Westerlo |
| 81' | ⚽ | Edisson Jordanov · Westerlo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Edisson Jordanov · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 262.00 | 780.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 1.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1660.64 | 1514.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.00 | -32.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| league points | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.76 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 0.34 |
| solidity v1 | -0.51 | -1.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.16 | 26.16 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 1.53 |