← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Aug 19, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 |
| Mechelen win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Mechelen +0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 78' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lazare Amani · St. Gilloise |
| 89' | ⚽ | Rafik Belghali · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cameron Puertas · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | David Bates · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.86 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 322.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.72 |
| elo | 1480.42 | 1789.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.33 | 3.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| league points | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 7.10 |
| season ppg | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 0.16 |
| solidity v1 | -0.97 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 27.08 |
| state index | -0.78 | 1.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.60 |