← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Aug 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Standard win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Standard +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Denis Drăguş · Standard |
| 45' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Club Brugge |
| 57' | 🟨 | Nathan Ngoy · Standard |
| 76' | ⚽ | Alan Minda · Club Brugge |
| 78' | 🟨 | Boris Popović · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 79.00 | 352.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1525.45 | 1679.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.39 | 9.80 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.91 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| league points | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 64.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -1.29 |
| solidity v1 | -1.02 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.42 | 23.06 |
| state index | -1.11 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -1.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 0.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.44 | 1.17 |