← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Aug 13, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.92 |
| Westerlo win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Westerlo +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Madsen · Westerlo |
| 35' | ⚽ | Tsuyoshi Watanabe · Gent |
| 60' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Gent |
| 67' | 🟨 | Mathias Fixelles · Westerlo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Julien De Sart · Gent |
| 74' | ⚽ (pen) | Hugo Cuypers · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 773.00 | 985.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1522.05 | 1756.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.72 | 30.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.03 | 3.97 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 0.66 |
| solidity v1 | -1.10 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.00 | 26.85 |
| state index | -0.73 | 1.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.41 |