← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Aug 13, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 39% | 2.47 |
| St Truiden win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Rein Van Helden · St Truiden |
| 21' | 🟨 | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 53' | ⚽ | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
| 56' | 🟥 | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
| 61' | 🟨 | Aboubakary Koita · St Truiden |
| 68' | 🟨 | Kristian Arnstad · Anderlecht |
| 82' | 🟨 | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
| 84' | 🟨 | Theo Leoni · Anderlecht |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mathias Delorge · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joselpho Barnes · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 104.00 | 255.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.86 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1554.82 | 1651.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.05 | -35.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 6.76 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 1.34 | -1.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.17 | 24.93 |
| state index | 0.49 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.56 | 1.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.08 |