← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Aug 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.12 |
| Mechelen win | 22% | 4.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Gent +0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Rafik Belghali · Mechelen |
| 54' | ⚽ (og) | Dimitri Lavalėe · Gent |
| 65' | 🟨 | Hugo Cuypers · Gent |
| 66' | 🟨 | Andrew Hjulsager · Gent |
| 85' | 🟨 | Núrio Fortuna · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days | 309.00 | 978.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1501.62 | 1745.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.29 | 36.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 59.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 2.83 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | 1.01 |
| solidity v1 | — | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 26.70 |
| state index | -0.38 | 1.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | — | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | — | 1.64 |