← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sat, Aug 5, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.03 |
| Charleroi win | 21% | 4.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Club Brugge −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Thibo Somers · Club Brugge |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
| 58' | 🟨 | Stefan Knežević · Charleroi |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mehdi Boukamir · Charleroi |
| 80' | 🟨 | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 338.00 | 277.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1663.65 | 1549.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.01 | -5.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 5.99 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.87 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 23.60 | 24.53 |
| state index | 0.81 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.74 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |