← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Aug 4, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Standard win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard +0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| St. Gilloise +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | William Balikwisha · Standard |
| 21' | ⚽ | Dennis Eckert · St. Gilloise |
| 36' | 🟨 | William Balikwisha · Standard |
| 36' | 🟥 | William Balikwisha · Standard |
| 57' | 🟨 | Senne Lynen · St. Gilloise |
| 62' | 🟨 | Aron Dønnum · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Romaine Mundle · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 24 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 13 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.84 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 64.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1528.39 | 1772.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.47 | 0.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 5.06 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.32 |
| solidity v1 | — | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.41 | 27.09 |
| state index | -0.95 | 0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | — | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | — | 1.32 |