← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Sun, Jul 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 72% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 17% | 6.02 |
| Kortrijk win | 11% | 9.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk −1.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Gent −1.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Abdelkahar Kadri · Kortrijk |
| 8' | ⚽ (og) | Aleksandar Radovanović · Gent |
| 24' | 🟨 | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
| 30' | 🟨 | Lars Montegnies · Kortrijk |
| 30' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Gent |
| 40' | 🟨 | Felipe Avenatti · Kortrijk |
| 56' | 🟨 | Nayel Mehssatou · Kortrijk |
| 71' | ⚽ | Gift Orban · Gent |
| 86' | ⚽ | Felipe Avenatti · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | João Silva · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 971.00 | 271.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1732.40 | 1446.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.60 | -3.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 2.83 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.80 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | -0.41 |
| solidity v1 | 0.60 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 26.11 |
| state index | 1.49 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | — |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | — |