← Jupiler Pro League 2023 · Fri, Jul 28, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 47% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Anderlecht win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| St. Gilloise −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 27' | 🟨 | Mathias Rasmussen · St. Gilloise |
| 30' | ⚽ | Dennis Eckert · St. Gilloise |
| 54' | 🟨 | Charles Vanhoutte · St. Gilloise |
| 75' | 🟨 | Killian Sardella · Anderlecht |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jan Vertonghen · Anderlecht |
| 85' | 🟨 | Kevin Mac Allister · St. Gilloise |
| 87' | 🟨 | Theo Leoni · Anderlecht |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Cameron Puertas · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 27.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1764.79 | 1648.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.83 | -28.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.79 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.43 |
| solidity v1 | -0.30 | -1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.33 | 24.95 |
| state index | 0.71 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.20 |