← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 17, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Bastia win | 23% | 4.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bastia +0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Timothée Kolodziejczak · Paris FC |
| 29' | ⚽ | Timothée Kolodziejczak · Paris FC |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Migouel Alfarela · Bastia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Migouel Alfarela · Bastia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 77.00 | 351.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1486.98 | 1555.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.93 | 5.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| league points | 57.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 1.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 26.99 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |