← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 17, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 67% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.63 |
| Ajaccio win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −1.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Rodez −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Giovanni Haag · Rodez |
| 6' | ⚽ | Andreas Hountondji · Rodez |
| 50' | 🟨 | Clement Vidal · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.85 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 533.00 | 1416.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1531.03 | 1434.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.59 | -42.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.70 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.59 |
| league points | 64.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 23.32 | 29.49 |
| state index | 0.12 | -1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |