← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 17, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Amiens win | 31% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Grenoble −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Mamadou Diarra · Grenoble |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 63' | ⚽ | Gaël Kakuta · Amiens |
| 71' | ⚽ | Antoine Leautey · Amiens |
| 88' | ⚽ | Yvan Ikia Dimi · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 77.00 | 321.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1445.28 | 1468.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.65 | 15.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| league points | 56.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.85 | 27.08 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |