← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 17, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Pau FC win | 23% | 4.10 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bordeaux −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 71% | 1.34 |
| Under | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Gaetan Weissbeck · Bordeaux |
| 16' | ⚽ | Jérémy Livolant · Bordeaux |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 46' | ⚽ | Iyad Mohamed · Pau FC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Kouadio Ange Ahoussou · Pau FC |
| 51' | ⚽ | Zuriko Davitashvili · Bordeaux |
| 52' | 🟨 | Marvin de Lima · Bordeaux |
| 77' | 🟨 | Thomas Colleaux · Pau FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Iyad Mohamed · Pau FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bordeaux | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Matmut-Atlantique |
| coach days | 229.00 | 1416.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1478.13 | 1457.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.11 | -26.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| league points | 49.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.51 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.69 | 26.65 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.09 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |