← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 10, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Pignard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
| Dunkerque win | 26% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Caen +0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 23' | 🟨 | Diabe Bolumbu · Caen |
| 50' | ⚽ | Opa Sangante · Dunkerque |
| 55' | 🟨 | Benjaloud Youssouf · Dunkerque |
| 68' | ⚽ | — · Caen |
| 77' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Gbamin · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 252.00 | 191.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1415.92 | 1518.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.82 | 6.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| league points | 51.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 7.03 | 7.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 27.88 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |