← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 10, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 40% | 2.36 |
| Concarneau win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Concarneau +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bordeaux +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Žan Vipotnik · Bordeaux |
| 29' | 🟥 | Mathias De Amorim · Bordeaux |
| 37' | ⚽ | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Concarneau |
| 50' | ⚽ | Pape Ibnou Ba · Concarneau |
| 59' | ⚽ | Kandet Diawara · Concarneau |
| 63' | ⚽ | Jérémy Livolant · Bordeaux |
| 72' | ⚽ | Pape Ibnou Ba · Concarneau |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Concarneau | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat |
| coach days | 9.00 | 222.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1403.64 | 1494.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.06 | -4.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.00 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| league points | 43.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 88.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 63.80 |
| rest days | 7.03 | 7.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | 1.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.00 | 25.63 |
| state index | -1.28 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.28 | 1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |