← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 10, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Rodez win | 22% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Rodez −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.51 |
| Under | 36% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Stone Muzalimoja Mambo · Rodez |
| 38' | ⚽ | Mickael Nade · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 43' | 🟨 | Dennis Appiah · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 50' | 🟨 | Mathieu Cafaro · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 77' | 🟨 | Abdel Hakim Abdallah · Rodez |
| 79' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Rajot · Rodez |
| 82' | 🟨 | Yvann Maçon · AS Saint-Étienne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| coach days | 161.00 | 526.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1614.67 | 1527.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.18 | 6.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 71.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 73.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 6.07 | 7.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.54 | 23.19 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |