← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 10, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Guingamp win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Nouha Dicko · Paris FC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Moustapha Mbow · Paris FC |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 78' | ⚽ | Nouha Dicko · Paris FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 344.00 | 9.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1547.75 | 1512.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.18 | -2.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| league points | 61.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 6.24 | 6.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.59 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.37 | 26.41 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |