← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, May 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Paris FC win | 25% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Paris FC −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Paris FC |
| 22' | ⚽ | Lassine Sinayoko · AJ Auxerre |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC |
| 57' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · AJ Auxerre |
| 67' | 🟨 | Nouha Dicko · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 581.00 | 338.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1633.39 | 1557.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.29 | 28.92 |
| eye test v1 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| league points | 76.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 87.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 63.20 |
| rest days | 4.76 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.40 | 1.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 26.14 |
| state index | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | 1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |