← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Concarneau win | 30% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Concarneau −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ (pen) | Axel Urie · Concarneau |
| 33' | 🟨 | Abdoulie Sanyang · Grenoble |
| 39' | 🟨 | Issouf Paro · Concarneau |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 43' | ⚽ | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 64' | 🟨 | Eddy Sylvestre · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 63.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 0.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1425.28 | 1411.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.46 | -20.98 |
| eye test v1 | -1.10 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 66.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| league points | 50.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 6.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.38 | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.76 | -1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |