← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 48% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Ajaccio win | 23% | 4.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Bordeaux −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Pedro Diaz · Bordeaux |
| 28' | ⚽ | Zuriko Davitashvili · Bordeaux |
| 72' | 🟨 | Christopher Ibayi · Ajaccio |
| 76' | 🟨 | Tony Strata · Ajaccio |
| 87' | ⚽ (pen) | Yoann Barbet · Bordeaux |
| 90' | ⚽ | Vital Nsimba · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bordeaux | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Matmut-Atlantique |
| coach days | 215.00 | 1402.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1479.87 | 1461.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.36 | 12.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| league points | 46.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 6.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.79 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.35 | 29.73 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.39 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |