← Ligue 2 2023 · Fri, May 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Wattellier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO win | 58% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 |
| Pau FC win | 19% | 5.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −1 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Angers SCO −1 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Mehdi Jeannin · Pau FC |
| 12' | ⚽ | Himad Abdelli · Angers SCO |
| 52' | ⚽ | Florent Hanin · Angers SCO |
| 56' | ⚽ | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Johann Obiang · Pau FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Justin-Noel Kalumba · Angers SCO |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jordy Gaspar · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Angers SCO | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Raymond Kopa |
| coach days | 429.00 | 1402.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1549.84 | 1475.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.66 | 19.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 73.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 6.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.31 | 27.62 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |