← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Bastia win | 22% | 4.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Gaby Jean · Annecy |
| 3' | ⚽ | Ousmane Camara · Annecy |
| 6' | ⚽ | Nordine Kandil · Annecy |
| 7' | 🟨 | Cheick Keita · Bastia |
| 8' | 🟨 | Nordine Kandil · Annecy |
| 58' | 🟨 | Florian Escales · Annecy |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 64' | ⚽ | Florian Bianchini · Bastia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ousmane Camara · Annecy |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jocelyn Janneh · Bastia |
| 88' | 🟥 | Yohan Demoncy · Annecy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michel Diaz · Annecy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Johny Placide · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 1092.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.28 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1468.21 | 1497.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.18 | 44.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.80 |
| league points | 44.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 36.20 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 26.49 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |